You are tasked to write a report on the selected country using the knowledge you have learned in the first four lessons.
You are to advise the reader on the recent trends in the currency of the selected country. Examine the various factors that have an impact on the movements of the currency.
Given the research and analysis that you have conducted, you are to summarise your findings and provide relevant recommendations to the reader who may be interested in trading (importing/exporting) or investing in the selected country.
Please note that the notation used in the course notes for a particular currency’s spot exchange rate (e.g. Singapore Dollar) is S(SGD/USD), which is the amount of SGD per USD. An upward trend in the chart means that USD is strengthening and SGD is weakening. For many charts used by market analysts, the convention would be USD/SGD, which implies 1 USD is equivalent to the stated number of SGD. Note that the S is not written for market convention. Hence S(SGD/USD) (academic version) is equivalent to USD/SGD (market analyst convention) when you examine the chart. A downward trend means that the USD is weakening and the SGD is strengthening. This convention is used for most currencies except for some. An exception here is the NZD.
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